Top 500

mlblogsbaseballdraft — Thu, 07 Jun 2007 15:04:35 +0000

Here it is. My final Top 100, then some. It will be interesting to see how many of the top 100 on my list are picked ni the top 100 today. I am hoping for a 70% success rate.

rank

name

pos

stats

school

David Price

L-L

6*5

195

2.88-59-43-15-89-.203

Vanderbilt

Rick Porcello-***

R-R

6*5

188

NortCarolina

Matt Wieters-***

B-R

6*4

205

325-120-6-33-27-20-1/1

Georgia Tech

Mike Moustakas-boras

L-R

6*1

185

committed to…

Southern Cal

Josh Vitters

R-R

6*3

195

Arizona State

Ross Detwiler

L-L

1.87-43-25-17-50-.168

Missouri State

Phillippe Aumont

R-R

6*7

225

91-96 raw

undecided

Blake Beavan-slot

R-R

6*7

210

91-96 effort, recoil, stud

Oklahoma

11.2

Jason Heyward

L-L

6*2

198

UCLA

Josh Smoker

L-L

6*2

190

Clemson

10.8

Matt Harvey-***

R-R

6*4

190

NortCarolina

10.5

Beau Mills

L-R

6*3

205

462-130-13-56-11-12-1/1

LewisClark

10.4

Matt LaPorta

435-110-15-37-27-9-2/2

Florida

10.3

Michael Main-of

R-R

6*1

171

Florida State

10.1

Andrew Brackman

R-R

6*9

230

3.42-47-45-18-45-.251

NorCarolinaSt

9.21

Matt Dominguez

R-R

6*2

185

hit=50 ,pow=60, arm=60, d=50

Fullerton

9.19

MadisonBumgarner

R-L

6*5

220

89-95

NortCarolina

9.18

Kevin Ahrens-pop

B-R

6*1

180

poss 1sr rdr, good hands, plus tools, slo

Texas A&M

9.17

Will Middlebrook ?ts

R-R

6*4

200

power nice arm, Ripken

9.15

Nick Noonan-2b

L-R

6*1

175

check on milb

Clemson

9.14

Travis Mattair-ss

R-R

6*5

215

power, arm, hands, ++makeup

Oregon State

9.13

Michael Burgess

Christmas Day = Draft Day

mlblogsbaseballdraft — Tue, 05 Jun 2007 19:15:21 +0000

Christmas was my favorite day of the year growing up. Gotta love those presents. Now my favorite day of the year is Draft Day. But unlike many Christmas gifts, baseball draft picks are gifts that keep giving and giving.

Both Christmas Day and Draft Day are times filled with joy and hope for the future. As an adult, the draft has become as exciting as Christmas was for me as a child. First there is the excitement of draft day. Question’s quickly morph one into the next: "Who will my team pick?" and "Who are these guys?"

Next is the anticipation of getting players signed and seeing their names in the box scores for the first time. Following the minor league box scores is how I found out that the Twins had signed their 14th round pick Jeff Manship last year.

But I never thought Manship would sign. Manship had been a solid prospect coming out of high school. He would have been drafted in the 2nd-4th rounds of the 2003 draft, if not for his committment to Notre Dame. Injuries and inconsistency plagued him at Notre Dame and signability was again an issue going into the 2006 draft. But he got drafted by the Twins, the best team at getting prospects to the majors, and he signed.

He is on his way to being ranked as a top prospect after his solid 2007 season. Now he hopes to follow Twins prospects Matt Garza, Kevin Slowey, and Scott Baker from the minors to the Major Leagues. Hopefully your favorite team drafts some players that you can pin your hopes on to improve your team. Best of luck to everyone on Draft Day.

Mock Draft -1st Round

mlblogsbaseballdraft — Tue, 05 Jun 2007 18:26:08 +0000

I have sent e-mails to MLBlogs and to MLB themselves. My Blog has been moved into readerless purgatory somehow and no one knows how to correct the issue. So my Blog based around Thursday’s draft is falling on blind eyes during the most important time of the year, one could say. Very unfortunate.

I don’t know if anyone will ever see or have a chance to read my Mock Draft, but I will do one anyway. Best Guess is listed first, others listed second. and of course, bonus demands and the Boras effect can ruin the best of predictions.

Tampa Bay-David Price should be the only option
Kansas City-Rick Porcello, but I would pick Weiters
Cubs-Josh Vitters, Mike Moustakas, Or Matt Weiters
Pittsburgh-Matt Weiters, or one of other four from above
Baltimore-Ross Detwiler, smart pick with pitching coach Leo Mazzone
Washington-Mike Moustakas or maybe Dan Moskos
Milwaukee-Phillipe Aumount, Blake Beavan
Colorado-Matt Dominguez, Dan Moskos, or Jason Heyward, could be wrong
Arizona-Jason Heyward, Jarrod Parker, Blake Beavan, maybe Beau Mills
San Francisco-Beau Mills, Aaron Poreda, Devon Mesoraco, Yasmil Grandal
Seattle-Casey Weathers, Beau Mills, Blake Beavan
Florida-Blake Beavan, Madison Baumgarner, Jarrod Parker, Michael Main
Cleveland-Madison Baumgarner, Matt Dominguez, Devon Mesoraco
Atlanta-Josh Smoker or Jason Heyward if he is still available
Cincinnati-Kevin Ahrens, Casey Weathers if available, Devon Mesoraco
Toronto-Dan Moskos, Aaron Poreda, Jarrod Parker, Joe Savery
Texas-Matt Harvey, Julio Borbon, Michael Main, Joe Savery
St. Louis-Andrew Brackman, Matt Harvey, James Simmons, Nick Schmidt
Philadelphia-Jarrod Parker, Devon Mesoraco, Michael Burgess, Matt Harvey
LA Dodgers-Jake McGeary, or whatever other HS pitcher drops to them
Toronto-James Simmons, Nick Schmidt, Aaron Poreda, Wes Roemer
San Francisco-Aaron Poreda, Nick Schmidt, Casey Weathers if he falls
San Diego-Nick Schmidt, Devon Mesoraco, Nick Noonan
Texas-Michael Main, Julio Borbon, Andrew Brackman if he falls
White Sox-Chris Withrow, Devon Mesoraco, Yasmil Grandal
Oakland-Matt LaPorta, Kyle Russell, Sean Doolittle, Devon Mesoraco
Detroit-Devon Mesoraco, Tim Alderson, Michael Burgess, Nevin Griffith
Minnesota-Peter Kozma, Will Middlebrooks, Nick Noonan, Wendell Fairley
San Francisco-Brett Cecil, Yasmil Grandal, Mitch Canham,
New York AL-Julio Borbon, Kyle Russell, Michael Burgess, Matt Mangini

Alfac Effect-1st Round or college

mlblogsbaseballdraft — Mon, 04 Jun 2007 13:07:52 +0000

The 2005 Aflac High School Baseball Classic brings together 38 of the best draft eligible high school players in the country. Lots of scouts show up to evaluate this select group of talented players. But less than half the players will end up signing contracts and going pro. The players from the 2004 and 2005 Aflac Classics were drafted in 2005 and 2006. In 2006 only 17 of the 38 signed. Less than half of the players signed each year. This will be the third year that Aflac Classic players can be drafted.

Dellin Betances	RHP	6′ 9"	215	Grand Street Campus School (Brooklyn, NY)
Brent Brewer	SS/OF	6′ 3"	195	Sandy Creek High School (Tyrone, GA)
David Christensen	OF	6′ 2"	195	Stoneman Douglas High School (Parkland, FL)
Andrew Clark	1B	6′ 2"	200	New Palestine High School (New Palestine, IN)
Cedric Hunter	OF	6′ 1"	185	Martin Luther King High School (Lithonia, GA)
Ryan Jackson	SS	6′ 2"	170	Florida Christian School (Miami, FL)
Jeremy Jeffress	RHP	6′ 1"	180	Halifax County High School (South Boston, VA)
Cody Johnson	1B/OF	6′ 4"	195	Mosley High School (Panama City, FL)
Kasey Kiker	LHP	5′ 11"	185	Russell County High School (Phenix City, AL)
Torre Langley	C	5′ 10"	175	Alexander High School (Winston, GA)
Matt Latos	RHP	6′ 5"	205	Coconut Creek High School (Miami, FL)
Chris Marrero	3B	6′ 3"	195	Monsignor Pace High School (Miami, FL)
Cory Rasmus	RHP/3B	6′ 0"	198	Russell County High School (Phenix City, AL)
Derrick Robinson	OF	6′ 0"	170	P.K. Yonge High School (Archer, FL)
Billy Rowell	3B/SS	6′ 4"	198	Bishop Eustace Prep (Sewell, NJ)
Max Sapp	C	6′ 2"	210	Bishop Moore High School (Windermere, FL)
Gerald Sullivan	RHP	6′ 4"	195	Mt. Olive High School (Budd Lake, NJ)
Chris Walden	RHP	6′ 3"	181	Bellefontaine High School (Bellefontaine, OH)
Colton Willems	RHP	6′ 4"	190	John Carroll High School (Fort Pierce, FL)

2005 West Team

Name	Pos.	Hgt.	Wgt.	School
Ryan Adams	SS	6′ 0"	185	Jesuit High School (Mandeville, LA)
Robbie Alcombrack	3B/C	6′ 1"	205	Bear River High School (Grass Valley, CA)
Brett Anderson	LHP	6′ 4"	205	Stillwater High School (Stillwater, OK)
Nathan Bridges	SS	6′ 1"	170	Villa Park High School (Yorba Linda, CA)
Gavin Brooks	LHP/1B	6′ 3"	192	Rancho Buena Vista High School (Vista, CA)
Hank Conger	3B/C	6′ 0"	210	Huntington Beach High School (Huntington Beach, CA)
Kyle Drabek	RHP/SS	6′ 0"	190	The Woodlands High School (The Woodlands, TX)
Grant Green	SS	6′ 3"	185	Canyon High School (Anaheim Hills, CA)
Taylor Hammack	LHP	6′ 3"	210	Angleton High School (Angleton, TX)
Ryan Jenkins	RHP	6′ 5"	195	Cypress Falls High School (Houston, TX)
Aaron Miller	LHP/1B	6′ 3"	200	Channelview High School (Channelview, TX)
Jared Mitchell	OF	6′ 0"	195	Westgate High School (New Iberia, LA)
Chris Parmelee	1B	6′ 1"	200	Chino Hills High School (Chino Hills, CA)
Jeff Rapoport	OF	6′ 0"	183	Westlake High School (Westlake, CA)
Chad Robinson	RHP	6′ 5"	205	Silverado High School (Las Vegas, NV)
Drew Rundle	OF	6′ 3"	180	Bend High School (Bend, OR)
Devin Shepherd	OF	6′ 4"	230	Oxnard High School (Oxnard, CA)
Chris Tillman	RHP	6′ 5"	190	Fountain Valley High School (Fountain Valley, CA)
Jordan Walden	RHP	6′ 4"	185	Mansfield High School (Mansfield, TX)

And then here is the list of players that signed after being drafted.

Card # Name High School Drafted By in 2006 Round Selected

1 of 14	Billy Rowell	Bishop Eustace	Baltimore Orioles	1
2 of 14	Kasey Kiker	Russell County	Texas Rangers	1
3 of 14	Chris Marrero	Monsignor Pace	Nationals	1
4 of 14	Jeremy Jeffress	Halifax County	Milwaukee Brewers	1
5 of 14	Kyle Drabek	The Woodlands	Philadelphia Phillies	1
6 of 14	Chris Parmelee	Chino Hills	Minnesota Twins	1
7 of 14	Colton Willems	John Carroll	Nationals	1
8 of 14	Cody Johnson	Mosley	Atlanta Braves	1
9 of 14	Hank Conger	Huntington Beach	Angels	1
10 of 14	Cory Rasmus	Russell County	Atlanta Braves	1
11 of 14	David Christensen	Stoneman Douglas	Colorado Rockies	2
12 of 14	Chris Tillman	Fountain Valley	Seattle Mariners	2
13 of 14	Torre Langley	Alexander	Florida Marlins	3
14 of 14	Robby Alcombrack	Bear River	Cleveland Indians	7

15 Brett Anderson signed late

16 Matt Latos signed late

17 Jonathan Walden signed late

So here is the list of players from the 2006 Aflac Classic. If half of these players look like first rounders, logically then the other half are long shots to sign. But some will sign. So this is a good example of why predicting the baseball draft is more difficult than the football and basketball drafts.

• Main, Michael

Stonecipher, Sequoyah

Tolisano, John

Vitters, Josh

I see these guys as potential first round picks, alphabetical order

Tim Alderson
Blake Beavan
Madison Baumgarner
Michael Burgess
Yasmani Grandal
Matt Harvey
Jason Heyward
Michael Main
Hunter Morris-probably…
Rick Porcello
Josh Smoker
Josh Vitters

So that is 12 of the 38 total Aflac players. Lets say that I am right with 10 of the 12. Lets be aggressive and sign that 19 players sign, which is more than ever before. So best estimate is that only 9 of the 26 players that I did not list will sign pro contracts during this draft. So being selected to play in the Aflac classic does not guarentee a Million Dollar bonus the next summer.

Draft-and-follows sign

mlblogsbaseballdraft — Fri, 01 Jun 2007 21:31:18 +0000

I went to the MLB site today, and didn’t see my blog on the list of blogs. I have nothing prepared, but I want to save something and see if I show back up. So today will be just some ramblings, no rankings.

This is the last year of the draft-and-follow rule. Players drafted last year that attended junior college could be signed this year before the draft. The biggest names this year were Matt Latos and Jordan Walden. They have both signed big contracts and should start playing around June 20th this year.

The draft-and-follow rule has also been used by Scott Boras to get around signing rules. In 2006, it was Max Scherzer who didn’t sign with Arizona, quit college, and gambled that he would get more money by wasting one of the best years of his life. Now he has signed for less money than he turned down last year. He also has a huge target on his back for putting money ahead of the game. My sad prediction for Scherzer is that he will never fully recover from the year away from organized baseball. Injury will be a possibility if he is not prepared for the grind of minor league ball. So he missed one year by holding out. This year he will try to build up strength. But if he gets hurts and needs surgery, then he misses another year, then after a year of rehab, he looks forward to another year of building up strength again. So his timetable could have him making his major league debut in 2007, 2008, 2009, 2010, or never.

Don’t forget that the early part of the draft is being televised on ESPN2. The draft has also been moved to Thursday and Friday this year. Each year I take the first Tuesday in June off for the draft. So this year, I had to change my request.

If you want to test your drafting ability, find out when your team drafts, and make your own picks. I always draft in the Twins draft position. You can do this real time by choosing an undrafted player. Or you can do a delayed draft, where you choose players the following day. Some of my most successful picks have been drafting Jake Peavy in the 6th round of the 1999 draft and Dontrelle Willis in the 3rd round in the 2000 draft. Both of those players would look great in the Twins rotation this year.

2nd Tier College-Infielders

mlblogsbaseballdraft — Thu, 31 May 2007 18:48:16 +0000

Most draft information get compilied on the the top players available. But after the first five rounds, there are still 45 more rounds left to draft players. Teams use these later picks on a combination of high ceiling raw physically talented athletes and lower ceiling hard working baseball players that know how to play the game. Here are some lists of players that won’t be top picks, but they could still get drafted and given a chance to reach the majors.

Troy	Clint Robinson	1B		6*4	225	Senior	.370-219-17-65-29-30-1
So Bama	Cunningham, Jeff	1B	L/R	6*3	215	Jr.	.350-183-22-64-38-53-4
C of Charl	Graham Maiden	1B	L/L	6*3	215	Sr.	.371-178-10-41-16-15-3
U of Az	Ziegler, C.J.	1B	R/R	6*4	225	Jr.	.347-199-10-56-28-34-0
Hawaii	Kris Sanchez	1B		6*3	220	Sr.	.364-206-10-63-28-42-1
Memphis	Adam Amar	1b	R-R	6*4	235	Sr.	.352-213-5-42-20-20-3
U of W	Rindal, Curt	1B	R/R	6*3	215	SR	.350-214-9-48-16-28-0
MissippiSt	Mitch Moreland	1B	L-L	6*2	228	Jr.	.342-202-7-50-29-25-1
La Tech	Albie Goulder	1B		6*3	205	jr	.327-196-14-51-26-34-3
NotreDame	Mike Dury	1B	S/L	6*5	240	SR	.246-179-9-35-24-49-4
Michigan	Nate Recknagel*	1B	R-R	6*2	215	Jr.	.358-193-10-54-40-36-4
MissippiSt	Brian LaNinfa	1B	L-R	6*0	220	Sr.	.321-184-4-42-20-35-1
Ok St	Ridling, Rebel	1B	R/R	6*3	225	Jr.	.336-232-11-62-15-57-1
Tex	Chance Wheeless	1B		6*5	220	Sr.-3L	.356-208-4-32-32-22-4
Flor Int’l	Petika, John	1B	L/L	6*2	210	Jr.	.342-219-7-56-9-26-2
Or St	Lennerton, Jordan	1B	L/L	6*2	230	Jr.	.327-159-6-42-26-31-0
Ark	Hamblin, Danny	1B	R/R	6*1	209	Sr.	.278-205-20-54-28-61-2
USC	Lucas Duda	1B		6*5	240	JR	.275-171-6-31-29-32-3
Maine	Joel Barrett	1B	R/R	6*1	220	SR	.364-184-7-38-25-19-2
LSU	Jordan Mayer	1B	R/R	6*3	257	Jr.	.213-61-4-8-9-16-2
J Madison	Moses, Mitchell	1B		6’3"	220	r-Sr.	.347-150-4-20-33-18
Louisville	Jorge Castillo	1B	L/R	6*1	235	JR	.290-183-4-42-8-24-1
South Flor	Daniel, Brandin	1B	L/L	6*1	220	Jr.	.270-200-7-45-25-57-0
Wichita	Jackson, Danny	1B	R/R	6*3	220	RSr.	.317-120-4-22-8-27-1
Elon	Chris Vasami	1B	R/R	6*4	235	Sr.	.315-197-5-44-21-44-2
Memphis	Joey Lieberman	1B	R-R	5*10	210	Sr.	.286-220-12-52-29-53-0
Florida St	Brandon Reichert	1B	RR	6*3	215	RS SR	.313-201-3-46-15-24-1

Many college players end up playing out of position, wherever the team needs them to play. So they often play numerous positions during the year. Because of this many college rosters list players not at a position, but as "Infielders". So I will have lists of players for each position, add also "infielders".

Ok St

Mach, Tyler

R/R

6*0

207

Sr.

.408-223-15-73-21-24-1

ASU

Eric Sogard

L/R

5*10

180

Jr./2V

.399-203-10-51-37-22-16

C of Charl

Chris Campbell

R/R

5*10

170

Sr.

.388-255-10-77-17-14-4

Flor Atlant

Robbie Widlansky

6*2

210

.445-227-15-67-23-27-9

So Missip

Trey Sutton

L/R

6*0

175

.370-235-7-37-34-19-12

Minnesota

Dan Lyons

Top 100-one week ’til draft

mlblogsbaseballdraft — Thu, 31 May 2007 14:40:05 +0000

When the draft starts next Thursday the Number One overall pick will be one of three players. Tampa Bay will select either David Price, college pitcher, Matt Weiters, college catcher, or Josh Vitters, high school third baseman.

Each of the 30 major league clubs will spend the next seven days cramming for the draft, baseballs equivelent of a final exam. And each teams draft list will be different. Sure, most of the top players on one teams list will look much like other teams lists. But after the first round, the lists are very different. Some teams will have 80 high school players in their top 100 players. Other teams could have a majority of college players on their list. Ten years from now, we will know who had the best draft.

My list of the top 100 players has changed over the last three weeks. Some players like HS 3B Will Middlebrooks and HS OF Cory Vaughn (son of Greg Vaughn) have moved up the list. Others like Clemson lefty Dan Moskos, Oklahoma State 3B Matt Mangini, and offense-first college catchers J.P. Arencibia and Mitch Canhamn have moved down the list. Like I said, there are 30 teams with thirty different draft lists, and my list is just one more.

David Price

L-L

6*5

195

Matt Wieters

B-R

6*4

205

Josh Vitters

R-R

6*3

195

Rick Porcello

R-R

6*5

188

Mike Moustakas

L-R

6*1

185

Phillippe Aumont

R-R

6*7

225

Jason Heyward

L-L

6*2

198

Blake Beavan

R-R

6*7

210

Ross Detwiler

L-L

Beau Mills

L-R

6*3

205

Matt Dominguez

R-R

6*2

185

MadisonBumgarner

R-L

6*5

220

Michael Main

R-R

6*1

171

Josh Smoker

L-L

6*2

190

Matt LaPorta

Andrew Brackman

R-R

6*9

230

Casey Weathers

R-R

Tim Alderson

R-R

6*7

208

Kevin Ahrens

B-R

6*1

180

Devon Mesaraco

Nevin Griffith

R-R

6*4

180

Jarrod Parker

R-R

6*0

175

Matt Harvey

R-R

6*4

190

Will Middlebrooks

6*4

200

Daniel Moskos

L-L

6*1

190

Michael Burgess

L-L

5*11

200

Todd Frazier

R-R

6*3

195

Corey Borwn

L-L

6*2

210

Kellen Kulbacki

Brett Cecil

R-L

6*2

225

Nick Schmidt

L-L

6*4

215

Brad Suttle

Travis d’Arnaud

R-R

6*0

180

Jack McGeary

L-L

6*3

200

Kyle Blair

R-R

6*4

200

Drew Cumberland

L-R

5*10

170

Joe Savery

L-L

6*3

210

Kyle Russell

Peter Kozma

R-R

Responses to comments

mlblogsbaseballdraft — Fri, 18 May 2007 20:18:50 +0000

Thanks again for the reader comments. Here are the answers:

#1 "Who out of this years draft do you see being in the show quickest and able to make an impact?"

The players I see making it to the majors the quickest would mostly be the bullpen guys. Guys like
Brett Cecil from Maryland, Wynn Pelzer from Clemson,
Cole St. Clair from Texas
Eddie Kunz from Oregon State,
Sam Demel from TCU,
Jordan Chambless from Tx A&M,
Casey Weathers from Vanderbilt, and Blair Erickson from Cal-Irvine could all make a quick rise to the majors. But it all depends on the teams that draft them. Looking at the hitters, I would say that Matt LaPorta from Florida,
Matt Weiters of Georgia Tech,
Kellen Kulbacki of James Madison, and Beau Mills of Lewis & Clark have the best chance. Starting pitchers get fast-tracked based on team need as well. That being said, I could see both Ross Detwiler and David Price in the majors sometime in 2008. Plus there is always the chance that Price goes straight to the majors if he gets a Major League contract from Tampa Bay as the #1 overall pick. It doesn’t happen very often, but it could happen.

#2 "What about the sensational left-hander, John Flanagan, from Belleville West (IL) High School?? Where do you see him in the overall picture?"

John Flanagan appears to be a solid, successful high school pitcher. He is a 6’5" left-hander with excellent command. He also sounds like he is leaning toward signing rather than going to college. All these things lead me to believe he will drafted anywhere between the 3rd-6th rounds. Seattle does a good job of drafting local players from the Pacific Northwest. So they could possibly pick Flanagan a little early, possibly with the 52nd overall pick they received from Kansas City for signing Gil Meche.

#3 "Great stuff, I am assuming you are waiting to see if guys like Scherzer, Latos and Walden sign. Where would they be rated if they were included?"

Great question! Latos and Walden were in my opinion two of the top high school pitchers from last years draft. They dropped in last years draft and went to junior college. If they don’t sign before the draft, they would both be first round picks in 2007. Scherzer would be best served by signing before the draft. Being represented by Scott Boras is a huge handicap for players wanting to start major league careers. He has done his part to wreck more careers than any other agent. Scherzer is currently pitching independant league ball. Reports have his velocity in the low 90′s, but his fastball is straight and hittable. So he could be the next Alan Embree, instead of the next Barry Zito. If he goes back into the draft, the Cardinals might be interested with either pick 18, or pick 36. I could also see Detroit taking him at #27, the Yankees at pick 30, or the pitching starved Washington Nationals at pick 31.

Top 100-May 11, 2007

mlblogsbaseballdraft — Fri, 11 May 2007 17:06:16 +0000

Jonathan Mayo has his draft chat going right now. So hopefully some of you "draft-heads" out there are joining in the fun. The servers at work will not allow me access. I have updated my Top 100 list somewhat, and I will do so again next week. Enjoy the rankings and have a good weekend.

1	David Price	P	C
2	Josh Vitters	3b	H
3	Rick Porcello	P	H
4	Matt Wieters-1b-p	C	C
5	Beau Mills	1B	C
6	Andrew Brackman	p	C
7	Mike Moustakas-c	3b	H
8	Jason Heyward	of	H
9	Matt Harvey	P	H
10	Ross Detwiler	P	C
11	Phillippe Aumont	P	H
12	Matt Dominguez	3b	H
13	Matt LaPorta	1b	C
14	Blake Beavan	P	H
15	Daniel Moskos	P	C
16	MadisonBumgarner	P	H
17	Jarrod Parker	P	H
18	Michael Main-of	P	H
19	Josh Smoker	P	H
20	Casey Weathers	P	C
21	Brett Cecil	p	C
22	Jack McGeary-1b	P	H
23	Matt Mangini	3b	C
24	Yasmani Grandal	C	H
25	Julio Borbon	OF	C
26	Tim Alderson	P	H
27	Todd Frazier-of-ss	3B	C
28	Nick Schmidt	P	C
29	Joe Savery	1B	C
30	Grant Desme	of	C
31	Peter Kozma	ss	H
32	Michael Burgess	of	H
33	Kentrail Davis	of	H
34	Neil Ramirez	P	H
35	Justin Jackson	ss	H
36	Cole St.Clair	P	C
37	Tanner Robles	P	H
38	Nick Noonan-2b	ss	H
39	Kevin Ahrens	3b	H
40	James Simmons	P	C
41	Mitch Canham	C	C
42	Devon Mesaraco	C	H
43	Wendell Fairley	of	H
44	Kyle Russell	of	C
45	Tony Thomas	2B	c
46	Andrew Lambo-of	1b	H
47	Eric Eiland	of	H
48	Jake Arrieta	P	C
49	Brad Suttle	3b	C
50	Sean Morgan	P	C
51	J.P. Arencibia	C	C
52	Adrian Ortiz	OF	C
53	Sean Doolittle-lhp	1B	C
54	Ryan Dent-ss-cf	2B	H
55	James Adkins	P	C
56	Josh Horton	SS	C
57	Danny Worth	ss	c
58	Wynn Pelzer	P	C
59	Wes Roemer	P	C
60	Hunter Morris-of	1b	H
61	Brandon Hicks	ss	C
62	Curt Casali-def	C	H
63	Kellen Kulbacki	of	C
64	Kevin Patterson-c	1b	H
65	Joshua Fields	p	C
66	Brett Krill	of	H
The Art of Ranking mlblogsbaseballdraft — Wed, 09 May 2007 20:35:48 +0000 Many thanks to the people that found my blog and left comments. Today I want to take a moment to talk about putting together a draft list. Specifically, in response to Kevin Ahrens and Jarrod Parker being ranked too low on my first Top 100 list. It is very possible that they both are too low. I had Ahrens listed at 54, which makes him a supplemental 1st round pick. Then I had Parker at 69, which is a high 2nd round pick. Ten years from now, we will know where they should have been ranked. For fun, lets see what happened twenty years ago in the 1987 draft The list function is throwing data everywhere. Please use this link to see the list. http://www.thebaseballcube.com/draft/1987/Round-1-1.shtml Hindsight is 20-20 when it comes to the draft. So in hindsight seven of the top ten teams drafting in 1987 didn’t have players ranked properly. So if I am wrong, I am not alone. One thing to keep in mind when looking at the draft is that every team has their own scouts and ranks players on their own. Since it is mathematically impossible for 30 different teams to rank prospects identically, everyone has a different list when they go into the draft. My list could be similar to some teams, and very different from other teams. But nobody knows for sure. My plan is to publish my Top 100 list about once a week, so I can provide the best info that I have. The same mathematical phenomena takes place in weekly polls of major college sports. A bunch of experts, and/or coaches are polled, and everybody’s list is slightly different. That doesn’t mean one expert is smarter than all the others. It just means that people have different opinions. You will also often notice that the polls don’t agree with each other. The 20th place team on one poll could be ranked 17th and 21st on different polls in the same week. I will get my updated list here in next couple of days.

2007 First Year Player Draft

Top 500

Christmas Day = Draft Day

Mock Draft -1st Round

Alfac Effect-1st Round or college

Draft-and-follows sign

2nd Tier College-Infielders

Top 100-one week ’til draft

Responses to comments

Top 100-May 11, 2007

The Art of Ranking